EDITOR’S BUNKER BRIEFING (14 September 2020) No25

Editor-in-Chief-Andrew-Drwiega
Andrew Drwiega, Editor-in-Chief, Armada International / Asian Military Review.

Dear Readers,

Back from my break and the virtual briefing / conference period is once again gathering momentum. Currently in my diary is Modern Day Marine (22-23 September), SMI’s UAV Technology 2020 conference (28-29 September) and hopefully AUSA’s Virtual activities between 13-16 October, although no details are currently available.

I am beginning to work up a list of editorial topics that we plan to cover in both Armada International and Asian Military Review in 2021. The breadth of defence means that we have to be very selective in what we cover. It has to be both timely and current, from small arms to space defence.

There has been a significant increase in defence spending on cyber and space technology, unmanned systems for all domains, which is taking budget away from traditional manned kinetic platforms.

If there is any particular topic you feel that we should consider please drop me a note at my email: [email protected].

I look forward to hearing your views.

Best regards,

Andrew Drwiega

Editor

UK NEEDS TO FOLLOW US LEAD AND ESTABLISH A CENTRE FOR FINDING INTELLIGENCE NEEDLES IN DIGITAL HAYSTACKS

“In a single day, the US’s reconnaissance aircraft and satellites collect more raw data than the entire defence workforce could analyse in their aggregate lifetimes. Security officials are trying to find needles in ever-expanding digital haystacks.”

This statement, presented in a Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) commentary authored by Sam Sherman, a Kennedy Scholar at the Harvard Kennedy School, exemplifies the challenges of mass intelligence gathering.

In the US, the centre of the response to this if found in the body of the Joint Artificial Intelligence Center (JAIC). According to Sherman, the JAIC evolved from work initially conducted by the Algorithmic Warfare Cross-Functional Team, otherwise known as ‘Project Maven’. “Project Maven stands out as an example of rapidly acquiring and then deploying AI technologies. The Maven team deployed AI in the battle against the Islamic State just six months after receiving funding,” reveals Sherman.

Through his commentary, Coordinating Artificial Intelligence: Six Lessons from the US, Sherman suggests that the UK needs its own version of the JAIC. “There are currently dozens of AI projects within the Ministry of Defence (MoD) alone, not all of which are pushing in the same direction and none of which develop AI across its entire lifecycle,” he states. Again, it should be a cross-functional team reaching into industry and academia.

Its main role, he suggests, should be “to facilitate a fertile AI ecosystem, including computing infrastructure, test facilities and data platforms. The unit should provide standardised tools for cleaning, aggregating, labelling and securing data, and should maintain a strong focus on testing and evaluation.”

DOD’S ANNUAL PRC ANALYSIS HIGHLIGHTS PUSH TOWARD ‘INTELLIGENTISED WARFARE’

On 1 September the US Department of Defense (DoD) released its annual report on “Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China (PRC).” It represents an assessment of the PRC’s recent military and security developments and potential objectives.

Among its many analysis and ‘take away’ points was the observation that “the PLA’s [People’s Liberation Army’s] goal [is] to become a fully modern and ‘informatised’ force by 2035.” This would include “intelligentised warfare,” which it identifies as “the application of artificial intelligence (AI) and other advanced technologies.

The report states that in order to serve “China’s expanding national interests”, the PLA will continue to improve its capacity for force projection which will work to integrate not only kinetic forces but also folding in the strengths of cyber and space technologies to allow multi-domain joint operations.

As the report observes, by moving towards force projection further away from the Chinese mainland, this could involve campaigns with allied nations and the use of overseas bases.

The full report can be found at: https://www.defense.gov/Newsroom/Publications/

AFGHANISTAN PEACE TALKS BEGIN BUT DEEP DIFFERENCES REMAIN INCLUDING WOMEN’S RIGHTS

“With the start of intra-Afghan negotiations, we are entering a new phase of the Afghan-led and Afghan-owned peace process,” said NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg speaking via video link at the opening ceremony of intra-Afghan negotiations held in Doha, chaired by the Qatari Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

Stoltenberg went on to say that the sacrifices made had not been in vain and that “Afghanistan is no longer a safe-haven for international terrorists.” He noted the improvements that had been made in many areas of public life which he insisted the talks ”must preserve.”

“We are now adjusting our troop presence in Afghanistan to support the peace efforts; at the same time, we remain committed to training and funding the Afghan Security Forces to help safeguard the Afghan people,”Stoltenberg continued.

The talks have been delayed because of a continuing dispute over the release of Taliban prisoners by the government and by continuing attacks by the Taliban.

Somewhat optimistically, NATO’s statement called for the negotiating teams to end violence and to build “on the progress of the last 19 years to safeguard the human rights of all Afghans, particularly women, children, and minorities, uphold the rule of law, and ensure that Afghanistan never again serves as a safe haven for terrorists.”

Whether the Taliban view this ‘progress’ to their liking and how they interpret ‘the rule of law’ in light of their strict interpretation of Sharia law will remain significant barriers to meaningful progress.

According to a report in The Guardian on 16 August 2020, there was an assassination attempt on the life of Fawzia Koofi, a female activist and one of five women who make up the 21-member negotiating team representing the Afghan government.

US GOVERNMENT CONTRACTS

Highlighting a selection of $100 million+ government awarded contracts awarded between 8-11 September.

11 September
US NAVY
WR Systems was awarded a $490 million IDIQ contract for maritime position, navigation and timing systems in-service engineering and technical support services. Naval Information Warfare Center is the contracting activity.

US ARMY
Ashford Leebcor Enterprises III was awarded a $100 million contract to provide maintenance and repair of real property and minor construction work for the Fort Lee military installation. US Army Field Directorate Office is the contracting activity.

10 September
US NAVY
Environmental Chemical has been awarded a $737 million contract for design and construction at the south airfield at Naval Air Weapons Station, China Lake, California. The task order also contains 24 unexercised options and 10 planned modifications, which if exercised, would increase cumulative task order value to $777 million. The work to be performed provides for the design and construction of six military construction projects: Hangar Three replacement, apron, taxiway and utilities for research, development, testing and evaluation; integration lab; air operations facility and air traffic control tower; aircraft parking apron in support of Hangar Two replacement; advanced warfare hangar; and aircraft fire and rescue station. Naval Facilities Engineering Command Southwest is the contracting activity.

US AIR FORCE
Cubic Defense Applications has been awarded a $193 million contract for the P5 Combat Training System (P5CTS) contractor logistic support. This contract provides continuous depot-level contractor services by replacing the previous contract that expired on 20 July, 2020. This is a mix of Foreign Military Sales (FMS) and non-FMS requirements. FMS customers comprise an estimated 56 percent of the value of the contract and include Australia, Egypt, Morocco, Oman, Poland, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Singapore and United Kingdom. Air Force Life Cycle Management Center is the contracting activity.

9 September
US NAVY
Lockheed Martin Rotary and Mission Systems, is awarded a $126.9 million contract to exercise and fund options for Navy engineering services, materials and spares. The Naval Sea Systems Command is the contracting activity.

US AIR FORCE
Raytheon Missiles Systems has been awarded a ceiling $125 million IDIQ contract for the Advanced Medium Range Air-to-Air Missile (AMRAAM) system improvement program. This contract provides for delivery of software updates to the AMRAAM inventory. Software development activities are expected to use a recognised agile framework consisting of government/Prime collaboration through repeatable increments of study, development, integration, test and capability demonstration. Air Force Life Cycle Management Center is the contracting activity.

8 September
US AIR FORCE
Northrop Grumman Systems has been awarded a $13.2 billion contract for a tested and fully qualified design of the Ground Based Strategic Deterrent (GBSD). The GBSD will replace the Minuteman III Intercontinental Ballistic Missile Weapon system. This contract will provide for the engineering and manufacturing of the GBSD. Air Force Nuclear Weapons Center is the contracting activity.

US NAVY
Raytheon Technologies, Pratt and Whitney Military Engines is awarded a $174 million modification contract for the production and delivery of 14 F135-PW-100 low rate initial production Lot 14 propulsion systems for the Air Force in support of the F-35A conventional take-off and landing aircraft. The Naval Air Systems Command is the contracting activity.

US MAJOR ARMS SALES

2 September – SPAIN
The State Department has approved a possible Foreign Military Sale (FMS) to the Government of Spain of one hundred (100) AIM-120C-7/8 Advanced Medium Range Air-to-Air Missiles (AMRAAM) and one (1) AMRAAM Guidance Section (spare) and related equipment for an estimated cost of $248.5 million.

2 September – France
The State Department has approved a possible FMS to the Government of France of four (4) AE-2100D Turbo Prop engines and two (2) Multifunctional, Information Distribution System-Low Volume Terminal Block Upgrade Two (MIDS-LVT BU2) and related equipment for an estimated cost of $350 million.

NEW EVENT CANCELLATIONS

No new event cancellations or rescheduling this week.

Keep safe and healthy everyone.

Andrew Drwiega

Editor-in-Chief
Armada International / Asian Military Review